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Table A2.1: Annual temperature changes (in °C) relative to 1980–1999 for 12 General Circulation Models forced by the SRES A1B scenario

Changes are shown for different end periods, the global and downscaled New Zealand average.

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Model (Country) Global change to 2090–2099 Change to 2030–49 Change to 2080-99 Global avgNZ avgGlobal avg NZ avg

cccma_cgcm3 (Canada)

3.10

1.47

1.27

2.99

2.69

cnrm_cm3 (France)

2.75

1.30

0.87

2.60

1.83

csiro_mk30 (Australia)

1.98

0.65

0.54

1.84

1.13

gfdl_cm20 (USA)

2.90

1.29

0.82

2.83

1.96

gfdl_cm21 (USA)

2.53

1.31

1.22

2.44

2.16

miroc32_hires (Japan)

4.34

2.00

1.35

4.15

3.44

miub_echog (Germany/Korea)

2.86

1.19

1.12

2.76

2.23

mpi_echam5 (Germany)

3.31

1.09

0.33

3.15

1.75

mri_cgcm232 (Japan)

2.20

0.97

0.71

2.16

2.07

ncar_ccsm30 (USA)

2.71

1.57

1.19

2.63

2.11

ukmo_hadcm3 (UK)

2.90

1.24

0.66

2.79

1.56

ukmo_hadgem1 (UK)

3.36

1.35

1.14

3.22

2.21

Note: Information on these models can be found in Chapter 10 (Meehl et al 2007) of the Fourth Assessment Report, 2007 and on the website http://www-pcmdi.llnl.gov/ipcc/ model_documentation/ipcc _model_documentation.php (3 April 2008).