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Figure A3.7: Range in projected annual temperature change (in °C) by 2090 for the A1B emissions scenario

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This figure depicts the range of temperature change expected by 2090 for each of the 12 models, for each of the 15 regions around NZ. Most of the model results are clustered around 2 degrees. For all the regions there is one model that has a temperature change that is significantly greater than the rest (e.g., 4 degrees for Northland), and one that is significantly smaller (1 degree for Northland). This trend is more marked in the north of the country and ramps down to have a range of 1.2 to 3.1 degrees for Southland.