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Figure A3.6: Number of models, out of 12, that indicate spring will be the season with the least warming, by 2040 (left) and 2090 (right)

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Figure A3.6 shows 2 maps of NZ.

The left hand map depicts the numbers of models with the least amount of warming in the spring months for 2040. West Coast, Otago and Southland have less than 3 models with the least warming in spring.  Canterbury, Kaikoura, Marlborough and Nelson have 11 or more. Most of the North Island has 11 or more models with the least warming in spring. The exceptions are Auckland and Northland which have less than 5.

The right hand map depicts the numbers of models with the least amount of warming in the spring months for 2090. All areas have 11 models or more with the least warming in spring except for Northland around 5 and Auckland which has around 8.