Low emissions scenario: 0.7 °C warmer by 2040 and 0.7 °C warmer by 2090.
High emissions scenario: 1.1 °C warmer by 2040 and 3.1 °C warmer by 2090.
Napier and Gisborne are expected to have around 1 per cent less annual rainfall by 2040 and 3 per cent less by 2090.
Winter rainfall is likely to decrease by 8 per cent in Gisborne and 10 per cent in Napier by 2090.
|Ex-tropical cyclones will likely be stronger and cause more damage as a result of heavy rain and strong winds.|
|There may be increased risk to coastal roads and infrastructure from coastal erosion and inundation, increased storminess and sea-level rise.|