Low emissions scenario: 0.7 °C warmer by 2040 and 0.7 °C warmer by 2090.
High emissions scenario: 1.1 °C warmer by 2040 and 3.1 °C warmer by 2090.
|Spring rainfall is likely to decrease by 6 per cent in Tauranga by 2090. There is likely to be little change in annual rainfall.|
|Ex-tropical cyclones will likely be stronger and cause more damage as a result of heavy rain and strong winds.|
|There may be increased risk to coastal roads and infrastructure from coastal erosion and inundation, increased storminess and sea-level rise.|