Low emissions scenario: 0.7 °C warmer by 2040 and 0.7 °C warmer by 2090.


High emissions scenario: 1.1 °C warmer by 2040 and 3.1 °C warmer by 2090.


Annual rainfall in Kaitaia is expected to change very little.

Whangarei is expected to have 1 per cent less annual rainfall by 2040 and 2 per cent less by 2090.
Wind  There may be an increase in westerly wind flow during winter, and north-easterly wind flow during summer.
Sealevel Ex-tropical cyclones will likely be stronger and cause more damage as a result of heavy rain and strong winds.

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