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Table 4: Sensitivity tests for outcomes development upstream of Ohau A

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Water use

Lost electricity

Direct agricultural outcomes

Take (cumecs)

No new hydro (NPV, 30 years)

New hydro installed (NPV, 30 years)

Primary production (NPV, 30 years)

Ongoing employment FTE

Ongoing population change

Ongoing value added

High agricultural gross margins, low water use, 7.5% discount rate

4.0

$85 m

$115 m

$132 m

485

1211

$17 m

High agricultural gross margins, low water use, 10% discount rate

4.0

$61 m

$80 m

$91 m

485

1211

$17 m

Low agricultural gross margins, high water use, 7.5% discount rate

5.5

$120 m

$160 m

-$37 m

138

344

$5 m

Low agricultural gross margins, high water use, 10% discount rate

5.5

$85 m

$112 m

-$44 m

138

344

$5 m

 

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