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Table 4: Percentage increase in 24-hour rainfall depth for a range of events and three different climate scenarios

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Rainfall Event ARI Percentage change per degree warming Percentage increase in 24- hour rainfall = (% change per degree warming) x (°C increase in annual mean temperature)
    Low (+0.6 °C) Medium (+2°C) High (+3.8°C)
2 year 5.4% 3.2% 10.8% 20.5%
5 year 5.9% 3.5% 11.8% 22.4%
10 year 6.2% 3.7% 12.4% 23.6%
20 year 6.4% 3.8% 12.8% 24.3%
50 year 6.6% 4.0% 13.2% 25.1%
100 year 6.7% 4.0% 13.4% 25.5%