Table 2: Projected balance of emissions units over the first commitment period (million emissions units)
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| Upper |
Most likely scenario |
Lower |
||
|---|---|---|---|---|
Emissions |
||||
a. Projected aggregate emissions |
405.4 |
|||
Energy (excluding transport) |
103.0 |
92.8 |
86.1 |
|
Transport |
84.7 |
80.1 |
76.7 |
|
Industrial processes |
22.3 |
22.2 |
22.1 |
|
Solvent and other product use |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
|
Agriculture |
228.3 |
203.1 |
180.0 |
|
Waste |
7.3 |
7.0 |
6.7 |
|
b. Assigned amount units |
AAUs |
309.5 |
309.5 |
309.5 |
c. Emissions to be covered (b–a) |
–96.0 |
|||
Projection of removal units |
||||
d. Removals via forests |
57.0 |
79.0 |
119.3 |
|
e. Deforestation emissions |
–41.0 |
–21.0 |
–21.0 |
|
f. Net removals via forests (d+e) |
RMUs |
16.0 |
58.0 |
98.3 |
g. Balance (c–f) |
–38.0 |
|||
h. AAUs allocated to projects |
7.5 |
7.5 |
7.5 |
|
Balance of units (g–h) |
–45.5 |
Note: One emissions unit is equivalent to one tonne of greenhouse gas emissions converted to carbon dioxide equivalents by the global warming potential.
