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Table 2.2: Projected changes for each regional council area in seasonal and annual mean temperature (in °C) from 1990 to the 2030s

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  Summer Autumn Winter Spring Annual
Northland 0.1 to 1.2 0.1 to 1.4 0.3 to 1.6 0.2 to 1.2 0.2 to 1.3
Auckland 0.1 to 1.2 0.1 to 1.3 0.3 to 1.6 0.2 to 1.2 0.2 to 1.3
Waikato 0.0 to 1.2 -0.1 to 1.3 0.3 to 1.6 0.1 to 1.2 0.1 to 1.4
Bay of Plenty 0.0 to 1.2 0.0 to 1.3 0.4 to 1.6 0.2 to 1.2 0.2 to 1.3
Taranaki 0.0 to 1.2 0.0 to 1.3 0.4 to 1.6 0.1 to 1.2 0.1 to 1.3
Manawatu-Wanganui -0.1 to 1.2 -0.1 to 1.3 0.3 to 1.7 0.1 to 1.2 0.1 to 1.3
Hawkes Bay -0.1 to 1.3 0.1 to 1.3 0.4 to 1.6 0.2 to 1.3 0.2 to 1.4
Gisborne 0.0 to 1.3 0.1 to 1.3 0.4 to 1.6 0.2 to 1.3 0.2 to 1.4
Wellington -0.2 to 1.2 0.1 to 1.2 0.4 to 1.7 0.1 to 1.2 0.1 to 1.3
Nelson 0.0 to 1.2 0.1 to 1.2 0.3 to 1.6 0.1 to 1.2 0.1 to 1.3
Marlborough -0.2 to 1.3 0.1 to 1.2 0.3 to 1.8 0.0 to 1.3 0.1 to 1.4
West Coast -0.1 to 1.1 -0.2 to 1.2 0.2 to 1.6 0.0 to 1.1 0.1 to 1.2
Canterbury -0.2 to 1.3 0.1 to 1.1 0.3 to 1.8 0.0 to 1.3 0.2 to 1.4
Otago -0.2 to 1.2 0.0 to 1.1 0.2 to 1.8 0.0 to 1.2 0.1 to 1.3
Southland -0.2 to 1.2 -0.1 to 1.1 0.2 to 1.8 0.0 to 1.1 0.1 to 1.3

Note: This table covers the period from 1990 to 2020-2049 (the 2030s), scaled to the full IPCC range of global warming. Corresponding maps (Figures 2.2, A32.2 and A3.3) should be used to clarify sub-regional spatial gradients.