Contents

Executive Summary

Chapter 1: Introduction

Chapter 2: Projections of Future New Zealand Climate Change

Chapter 3: Relationship to Current Climate Variability and Change

Chapter 4: Effects on Local Government Functions and Services

Chapter 5: Developing the Scenarios

Chapter 6: Risk Assessment

Chapter 7: Integrating Climate Change Risk Assessment into Council Decisions

Glossary

References

Appendix 1: General Methodology for Climate Change Effects and Impact Assessment

Appendix 2: Scaling to Full IPCC Range of Emissions

Appendix 3: Further Details of Projected New Zealand Climate Change

Appendix 4: An Example of the Preliminary Scenario Method for Extreme Rainfall

Appendix 5: Climate Change in Plans - Checklist for Contents

Appendix 1: General Methodology for Climate Change Effects and Impact Assessment

The diagram above shows the IPCC's seven steps of climate impact assessment (Carter et al 1994).

Note: Steps 1-3 are covered in Chapter 4 of this Guidance Manual (effects on local government functions and services). Step 4 is dealt with in Chapter 5 (constructing plausible scenarios) and draws on material from Chapter 2 (projections of future New Zealand climate). Steps 5 and 6 form part of Chapters 6 and 7 (risk assessment and how and where to use it). Step 7 (evaluation of adaptation strategies) will be covered later in separate publications.

Reference

Carter TR, Parry ML, Harasawa H, et al. 1994. IPCC Technical Guidelines for Assessing Climate Change Impacts and Adaptations. Geneva: Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.

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