Skip to main content.

Figure A3.4: Projected changes in seasonal mean temperature (in °C) relative to 1990 for 2070-2099 (2080s): low end of IPCC range

Return to the point in the document where this figure is located.

Note: Scaled to the low end of full IPCC range of global warming. Contours are every 0.2°C. See also the box above Figure 2.2.

Text description of figure

For the low end of full IPCC range of global warming, this figure displays the projected changes in seasonal mean temperature across New Zealand (in degrees Celsius) relative to 1990 for the 2080s. In winter a relatively uniform temperature increase of 0.6 to 0.8 degrees is expected across New Zealand. In spring and autumn the projected temperature rise is between 0.2 to 0.6 degrees, with the least warming expected in the west of the South Island, and the largest warming likely in the north and northeast of the North Island. For summer, slight cooling is expected in the west of the South Island and in parts of Otago, slight warming up to 0.2 degrees over the rest of the South Island, and the southwest of the North Island, and for the rest of the North Island temperatures are expected to rise by about 0.4 to 0.5 degrees.