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Note: Shaded region shows the range of changes by 2100 in alpha and beta projected for the New Zealand region by Semenov and Bengtsson (2002). Hatched shading indicates increases in the 95-percentile value, and solid shading indicates decreases.
This figure shows lines of constant percentage changes in the Whenuapai, Auckland 95 percentile winter daily rainfall amount as functions of changes in the parameters of a gamma distribution. Along the x-axis is the shape parameter (alpha) and along the y-axis is the scale parameter (beta). A shaded box in the figure indicates the range of changes in alpha and beta, of -10 to 0 percent and 0 to 40 percent respectively, expected by 2100 for the New Zealand region as suggested by Semenov and Bengtsson (2002).