Figure A2.3: Schematic illustrating how projected extreme climate changes are less likely than mid-range values
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Text description of figure
Schematic showing how a range of emission scenarios interacts with a range of climate model projections to produce a "distribution" of projected temperature changes. In order to get the extreme low (high) IPCC projections, you need to combine the lowest (highest) emission with the least (most) sensitive climate model. Thus, there is an argument for accepting mid-range IPCC projections as more likely than the extremes.
