Figure 6.9.1 PED (mm) with a 1 in 20 year return period (5% chance of occurrence in any one year) for the four future scenarios based on the CSIRO model

Text description of figure

The figure consists of four maps of New Zealand showing the PED level (in mm) with a 5% chance of occurrence in any one year, for the four future scenarios based on the CSIRO model: 2030s 25% and 75%, and 2080s 25% and 75%. The maps show a lot of spatial detail, but there are clear regional patterns. Each map shows a very similar pattern where the highest PED (at least 500mm and in places above 700mm) occurs in the east from central Otago to Marlborough and Wairarapa to East Cape. There is an increase in PED level with time and scaling, with the 2030s 75% map being virtually identical to the 2080s 25% map.