Skip to main content.

Figure 3.5 Monthly accumulation of PED (in mm) at the Lincoln (left) and Napier (right) gridpoints, comparing historical distributions with those projected by Hadley model with IPCC 75% scaling

Return to the point in the document where this figure is located.

 

Text description of figure

The figure shows two line graphs of the typical seasonal change in the monthly PED accumulation fro two sites, Lincoln (left panel) and Napier (right panel), using the Hadley model and the 25 and 75% emission scaling factors.

In Lincoln under the current climate, monthly PED begins to accumulate from September, reaches a maximum of 100mm per month in January, and declines back to zero by May. For the 75% emission scaling, monthly PED begins to accumulate one month earlier (in August), reaches a maximum of 130mm per month in January, and declines back to zero by May. The 25% emission scaling scenario lies between the current and 75% scenario.

In Napier under the current climate, monthly PED begins to accumulate from September, reaches a maximum of 100mm per month in January, and declines back to zero by May. For the 75% emission scaling, monthly PED begins to accumulate one month earlier (in August), reaches a maximum of 150mm per month in December, and declines back to zero by May. The 25% emission scaling scenario lies between the current and 75% scenario up to January and is similar to the 75% emission scenario between January and May.