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Figure 3.2 Average annual accumulated PED (in mm) at two gridpoints corresponding to Lincoln and Napier

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Results are shown for the current climate ("Now"), the 2030s, and the 2080s, for four climate change scenarios.

 

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The figure shows two line graphs of the change in average PED for various scenarios between now and the 2080s, for the sites of Lincoln (left panel) and Napier (right panel).

At Lincoln, average PED is expected to increase from 470mm under the current climate to between 520 and 630mm in the 2080s. The smallest increase is projected under the CSIRO climate model and 25% greenhouse gas emission scaling, while the highest increase is projected under the Hadley model and 75% greenhouse gas emission scaling.

At Napier, average PED is expected to increase from 440mm under the current climate to between 500 and 690mm in the 2080s. The smallest increase is projected under the CSIRO climate model and 25% greenhouse gas emission scaling, while the highest increase is projected under the Hadley model and 75% greenhouse gas emission scaling.