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Initial recommendations for further work

This paper has identified some key gaps in analysis, which once completed would assist with negotiations on international climate change policy. This includes:

  • Conducting empirical analysis, or undertaking further research of international studies, on the relationship between decisions on participation by countries in a global emission reducing strategy and the activities included within this strategy, and the world price on carbon and impact on international commodity prices;

  • Deriving sectoral abatement cost curves for New Zealand, and generating data to assist with the determination of the domestic mitigation potential;

  • Undertake further general equilibrium modelling to incorporate these abatement costs, and with sensitivity analysis around alternative methods of government expenditure of the revenue from surplus credits; and

  • Developing a better understanding of the likely scale of direct and indirect effects on New Zealand associated with increased global mean temperatures.

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