Skip to main content.

Figure 2.1: IPCC multi-model temperature projections for selected scenarios

The grey bars to the right show the range in global warming for the scenarios we have used in this manual.

Return to the point in the document where this figure is located.

Text description of figure

This figure illustrates historic global average temperatures from 1900 to 2000, and from 2000 to 2100 a range of possible future global temperatures, which reflect the range of plausible emissions scenarios and the range of Global Climate Model predictions for given scenarios. 3 SRES scenarios are each represented by a solid lineshowing an increase in temperature to a maximum of 3.6 degrees Celsius.. These are shown as continuations of the 20th century simulations. Coloured shading is included to denote the ± standard deviation range of individual model annual averages.

The full range in global temperature increase over the six illustrative scenarios of the AR4 was 1.1 to 6.4 degrees Celsius expressed as changes between 1980-1999 and 2080-2099.